After minutes of careful research Elleo has divised the following formula for calculating the probability of a bashitis outbreak:
(a/I) * (l/A) * ((n/10) + (N/5)) = P
a = Active persons I = Idlers l = Lines shorter than 25 characters spoken since the channel was created A = Age of the channel (in hours) n = New users N = Persons with names containing numeric characters. P = Probability of bashitis outbreak. If this number exceeds 1 prepare for the subtle wit and friendly joviality that is bash.org's trademark.